MILLTRUST INTERNATIONAL
 

Milltrust Global Emerging Markets Fund  Q2 2020 Country Rebalancing

April 9, 2020

BY Milltrust International Group

At Milltrust, we have developed proprietary geographical asset allocation models that help drive the country allocation recommendations for our equity investment solutions.

In absolute terms, we are currently in an environment where nearly every country in this specific investment universe has had a downgrade over the last 6 months in their GDP growth forecasts for 2020, where nearly every country’s forecasted price-to-earnings ratio is trading below their 10-year average, where nearly every country’s year-on-year price momentum is negative, and where nearly every country’s short term interest rates have declined relative to their 24-month average. These are clearly unique times. However, when doing a relative comparison between the different countries, which is the basis of our models, there are some clear ‘overweights’ and ‘underweights’ within this universe. We tend to favour the east Asian markets of Taiwan and South Korea alongside Russia and Brazil. Interestingly, China has now fallen into the underweight category mainly due to the other countries becoming cheaper and providing more accommodative monetary policy to support markets; the Chinese markets have been remarkably resilient during Q1.

Read full report below

Disclaimer

For professional investors only. This document is strictly private and confidential and is issued by Milltrust International LLP, incorporated in the United Kingdom, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Milltrust International LLP has its registered office at 5 Market Yard Mews, 194-204 Bermondsey Street, London, SE1 3TQ, United Kingdom and is a subsidiary of Milltrust International Group (Singapore) Pte Ltd. None of the investment products mentioned herein are regulated collective investment schemes for the purposes of the UK Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. The promotion of such products and the distribution of this document are, accordingly, restricted by law. Most of the protections provided by the UK regulatory system and compensation under the UK’s Financial Services Compensation Scheme will not be available. The investments described herein are only available to investors permitted to invest in the prospectus of the fund and are not available to private investors. The nature of the fund investments carries certain risks and the Fund may utilise investment techniques which may carry additional risk. The value of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise and is not guaranteed. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This document contains forward-looking statements which are correct as at the date of this document. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause actual results, performance or projections to be materially different from future results. Any investment in the funds mentioned above should be based on the full details contained in the relevant prospectus and supplements which are available from www.milltrust.com. Notice to US investors: the shares of Milltrust International Managed Investments ICAV and Milltrust International Investments SPC have not been registered under the 1933 Securities Act or under the 1940 Act; however the company takes advantage of the 3[C]7 exemption and shares are available to 3[C](1) US qualified purchasers and those qualifying under Reg D distribution activity in the US is undertaken by Silverleaf Partners LLC, a registered broker-dealer based in New York.

Categories: News

Tags: